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Writer's pictureAn Minh Nguyen

Cash flow forecasting and working capital

Why cash is important to a business?

If a business runs out of cash or have too little cash, it will face major problems:

  • Unable to pay workers/ suppliers/ landlord/ government

  • Production of goods and service will stop --> workers will not work for no pay --> suppliers will not supply goods if the are not being pay

  • Business might be forced into liquidation ( selling up everything they owns to pay debt)

Cash inflow: the sums of money received by a business during a period of time

  • Sale of products for cash

  • Payments made by debtors ( debtors are customers who already purchased products but did not pay in time )

  • Borrowing money from external resources

  • Sale of assets

  • Investors

Cash outflow: the sums of money paid out by a business during a period of time

  • Purchasing goods/ material

  • Paying wages/ salaries

  • Purchasing non-current (fixed) assets

  • Repaying loans

  • Paying creditors of the business ( other firms which supplied items for the business not were not pay immediately)

Cash flow cycle: shows the stages between paying out of cash for labour, materials, and so on, and receiving cash from the sale of goods

  1. Cash needed to pay

  2. For essential material and other cost

  3. Goods produce

  4. Goods sold

  5. Cash payment received for goods sold

If the business do not have enough cash for stage 1:

  • Not enough materials and other requirements could be purchased --> output and sale would fall

If the business insist customer to pay cash at stage 4 because of money shortage:

  • It might lose the customer to a competitor who could offer credit

if a business had insufficient cash to pay its bills :

  • Liquidity crisis and it might be forced out of business by its creditors

Cash flow is not profit


Can a profitable business ran out of cash?

  • Allowing customers too long a credit period ( perhaps to encourage sale)

  • purchasing too many fixed asset at once

  • Overtrading ( expanding too quickly and keeping a high inventory level )

Cash flow forecasts: an estimate of future cash inflow and outflow of a business, usually on a month by month basis. This shows the expected cash balance at the end of each month.

  • How much cash is available for paying bills/ repay loans/ buying fixed assets

  • How much cash in the bank need to lend--> avoid insolvency

  • Whether the business is holding too much money or not

Uses of cash flow:

  • Starting up a business

  • Running an existing business

  • Keeping the bank manager informed

  • Managing cash flow

How short term cash flow problems can be overcome:

  • Increasing bank loans: interest must be paid--> reduce profit

  • Delaying payments to suppliers: suppliers could refuse to supply

  • Asking debtors to pay more quickly : customers may purchase fro another business

  • Delay or cancel purchases of capital equipment: the long term efficiency of business could decrease without up to date equipment

How long term cash flow problems can be overcome:

  • Attract new investors

  • cutting cost and increasing efficiency

  • developing new product to attract customers

Working capital: capital available to a business in the short term to pay for day to day expenses


Working capital = Current assets - Current liabilities


Working capital may be held in different forms:

  • Cash is need to pay day to day costs and buy inventories

  • value of a firm's debtors is related to volume of the volume of production and sales

  • the value of inventories may cause the production to stop





























































































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